Milwaukee at Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh started 4-0 this season, but now has lost five of its last six games, including yesterday when the Pirates left 12 men on base against Detroit. Jimmy Nelson is coming off two quality starts of allowing four runs in 13 1/3 innings with 12 strikeouts. Pittsburgh hitters who have faced him are batting just .238 against Nelson and he has a .224 opponent batting average and 3.38 ERA at PNC Park the last three years. Jeff Locke gave up one run and seven hits in his first start in a 2-1 loss at Cincinnati. Locke is 5-4 in his career against the Brewers. Milwaukee is getting good value in what appears to be an even matchup. Take the Brewers.