Milwaukee at Philadelphia

The Phillies open a big series at home with the Milwaukee Brewers. There are a lot of teams bunched together in the NL for wild card slots, and both of these teams are going to have to keep pace. The Phillies are 22-13 in their last 35 at home, and look to add to a three-game home winning streak tonight. The Brewers could come in flat after sweeping the Cincinnati Reds at home. Julio Teheran has only made eight starts for the Brewers and opponents hold a +18% ROI in games he has started this season, outscoring Milwaukee by 1.5 runs per game. I like Philadelphia in this one.