Milwaukee at New York

Nothing like a 12 run barrage to keep a total higher than where it should be.  Grienke has pitched to an ERA of 5.5 this year and the total was set at 9.5 yesterday.  Today the Brewers go with Shaun Marcum and his 2.95 ERA to a total reduced by just a half run despite the nearly three run differential from yesterday's pitcher. A.J. Burnett is in a better place mentally for the Yankeesand his last three starts have seen a total of 14 runs scored between both teams, so he is obviously doing his part. The Yankee pen has been superb so no free ride late for Milwaukee here either. The Yanks are just four overs in their last 16 following a win and Burnett as a home favorite of -150 or less shows just one over in his last seven. I'll ride with the UNDER here.