Milwaukee at New York

The Milwaukee Brewers have been a big surprise, sitting atop the NL Central with a comfortable lead over the Cardinals, heading down the stretch of the MLB regular season. That lead and their surprise success, has all been garnered on their home field where they have built a tremendous advantage this season. Milwaukee is 47-16 at home, far superior to any other team in either league, but if they have an Achilles heel it starts with their 26-36 road mark. Shaun Marcum has pitched well, but on regular four days of rest, the Brewers are just 2-5. The Mets have been great when Michael Pelfrey has started at home as a dog over his career, where they are 15-10 in his 25 home dog starts. Play on the Mets.