Milwaukee at Minnesota

The Brewers are on a 4-7 slide losing three times as a favorite. That included a 5-2 loss at home to Washington as -286 chalk. Milwaukee is 2-11 in the last 13 starts made by Aaron Civale, who has a 6.23 ERA on the road. Meanwhile, Minnesota has won 11 of 17 and is 7-1 after a loss. Joe Ryan (3.53 ERA) is holding batters to a .222 average with a 124-to-19 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 114+ innings. The offense is seventh in runs scored, eighth in on-base percentage, and fourth in slugging. The defense is Top 10 in fielding percentage while the bullpen is ninth in ERA (3.59) and fifth in WHIP. Twins are on a 5-3 run UNDER the total, so back home field in a defensive duel. Play Minnesota + UNDER the total.