Milwaukee at Los Angeles

The LA Dodgers have won eight-straight games and 12 of their last 13. They are starting to be considerably over-valued as they are taking on a division leader with a moneyline north of -200. The Brewers have won four in a row and they are 3-0 to start this road trip, sweeping the White Sox. Bobby Miller gets the ball for LA tonight, and the Dodgers are 9-4 when he starts, but Miller has done most of his good work against .500 or worse teams (6-1). Up against winning clubs, the team's record levels off to just 3-3. Those six winning opponents put an average of six runs on the board when Miller started, whereas the seven sub-.500 teams scored just 2.2 runs per game. Lots of hidden value here. Make the play on Milwaukee.