Milwaukee at Houston

Yovani Gallardo has had issues on and off the field this season, but he is a top-of-the-rotation type starter that has finally started pitching like one. He is coming off a pair of road starts where he completed 14 innings without allowing a single run, and should have success vs. the light-hitting Astros, who were limited to a single run here last night. Gallardo has five wins at Minute Maid - his best in any opposing park, and was 3-1 vs. the Astros a year ago. The Brewers have not done a lot of winning this season, but they are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. a team under .400, and they are 12-1 when Gallardo starts vs. a losing team in his last 13. Houston is an ugly 44-97 in their last 141 facing a right hander. Go with Milwaukee.