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Milwaukee at Houston

August 5, 2011
img8:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Milwaukee Brewers have been steamrolling opponents at home on their way to a major league best 41-15 mark. The road has been an entirely different story where the Brewers own a decisively worse 21-35 mark. That means this team from home to away goes from a .732 team to a .375 team, or a staggering .357 worse team on the road. That clearly marks the nearly 2-1 odds here in favor of the Astros, especially on the runline. When you consider the fact that of the Brewers’ 21 road wins this season, one-third of them, or seven have been by a single run. That would mean that they have 14 of 56 games that would have beaten a would-be -1.5 runline. That certainly isn't justified in the odds posted here, so I'm going with Houston on the runline.

3 units on Houston +1.5 runs +105 (runline) (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
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Milwaukee Brewers img
3
0
3
0
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1
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Houston Astros
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1
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1
consensus consensus
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