Milwaukee at Colorado

A pair of weak offensive teams meet at Coors Field. Colorado ranks #16 in on base percentage, Milwaukee #29, while the Brewers are #27 in runs scored. Milwaukee is 6-2 UNDER the total on the road and 3-1-1 UNDER when Kyle Lohse starts on the road. Lohse is 6-4 with a 4.39 ERA in 14 career outings against Colorado. The Brewers are off a 9-5 win yesterday and lost just 3-2 the game before at Kansas City as a +130 dog. The Brewers are 11-4 against a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400. Milwaukee is off a victory and 8-2 UNDER the total after a win. Colorado has a fine young arm going in Chad Bettis (2-2, 3.74), with a 3.20 ERA at Coors Field. The UNDER is 4-1-1 when Bettis faces a team with a losing record. Colorado is favored, but the Rockies are 4-10 as a home favorite, as well as 6-26 when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. The value is with the Brewers to steal another win or lose a close one, plus it shapes up as more of a defensive duel than oddsmakers expect with the UNDER at 7-3 when the Rockies face a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Take both Milwaukee on the runline and UNDER the total.