Milwaukee at Cleveland

The Indians have certainly had their injury problems this season, losing their top three players in Haffner, Martinez and Sizemore, all for at least a few games. Martinez is back and so is Hafner, and the middle of the lineup has gotten back its swagger, hitting good lately. The Indians record may be a bit deceptive. The Tribe has already played eight games with the Yankees, five with Boston, eight with Tampa, five with Toronto, and six with the Tigers. They have had 42 of their 66 games against teams with .500 or better records and six others with a team one game under .500. That represents an unbelievable 73% of all their games against good teams, and for the most part, shorthanded. The Brew Crew has not fared well against teams with a losing record as they have posted a 4-12 mark in their last 16. They have also not gotten it done against left-handed starters in interleague play at 3-10 in their last 13. Overall they are just 2-9 in their last 11 interleague road games. The Indians have risen to the occasion as a home dog of +110 to +150 as they are 12-3 in their last 15 in this dog role. The undervalued team that has played a tough early schedule equals a live home dog, so I'm on the Indians here.