Milwaukee at Cincinnati

Can't trust these Milwaukee Brewers on the road, playing their fourth straight away after a double-header yesterday. The Brewers are 2-5 on the road vs. a team with a losing record. Brewers starter Jimmy Nelson throws best at home with a losing road record and a 4.32 ERA away from home. Nelson is 1-1 with a 5.63 ERA in six career appearances versus Cincinnati. Joey Votto has been a major factor in Cincinnati’s offensive surge while going 14-for-27 with three homers and eight RBIs during an eight-game hitting streak. They have recorded 46 runs in the last seven games. Reds starter Michael Lorenzen is off a 13-6 win over the Cubs, and Milwaukee has not seen him, making this a great spot for the home dog. Play Cincinnati.