Milwaukee at Cincinnati

Milwaukee has a losing road mark and plays its fourth consecutive road contest. The Brewers are on a 4-11 run on the road, including 2-7 away versus losing teams. Milwaukee has lost four of the last five starts made by Corbin Burnes with a bullpen that is 17th in the majors in ERA (4.09). The Brewers are also 31-33 as a road favorite. Meanwhile, Cincinnati has won seven of 10 winning all seven as an underdog, and has won all three starts made by Brandon Williamson. With Milwaukee 25-36 against NL teams that average 4.5 or more runs per game, back the home dog that is playing well. Play Cincinnati.