Milwaukee has topped Cincinnati in the last two games, both by a score of 1-0. The Brewers have to be close to perfect defensively as the offense is 22nd in runs, 23rd in on-base percentage, and 26th in slugging. It will be tough to throw another shutout with Freddy Peralta (4.70 ERA) on the mound. He has a 5.82 ERA on the road this season, where the Brewers have lost six of his seven starts. Milwaukee is 20-26 after allowing two or fewer runs in back-to-back games, plus 3-10 after two straight victories by two runs or less. Cincinnati's offense is fifth in scoring, third in on-base percentage, 12th in slugging, and No. 1 in steals, while the defense is Top 10 in fielding percentage. Young ace Andrew Abbott (2.38 ERA) is holding batters to a .192 average with a 48-to-14 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 41+ innings. And teams like the Reds revenging a one-run loss are 41-18 after being shutout by a divisional opponent. Play Cincinnati.
This pick was released to clients on July 15, 2023 at 11:54AM ET.
MLB
Milwaukee at Cincinnati
July 15, 2023
7:10 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Cincinnati -117 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 2.78)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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