Milwaukee at Cincinnati

Cincinnati has a winning record at home and faces a terrible Milwaukee team. The Brewers are 21-41 against a team with a losing record. Milwaukee is 16th in runs scored and 27th in on base percentage. Milwaukee starter Taylor Jungmann has a 1.88 ERA at home, but almost twice that on the road. The Brewers are 3-8 as a dog, plus 14-30 as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Reds are on a 9-3 run at home, 7-2 at home against a right-handed starter. Reds righty Mike Leake is best at home with the team 4-1 his last five home starts. The Reds are 9-4 as chalk and 9-3 in their last 12 games as a home favorite. Cincy is also 6-3 against Milwaukee, and the Brewers are 16-36 in the last 52 meetings in Cincinnati, so grab home field. Play Cincinnati.