Milwaukee at Chicago

The Cubs are going to fall short of what was expected to be another playoff appearance, but it isn't the home resume that will keep them out of the playoffs, it is a 31-40 road mark that made the difference. The Cubs offense takes a hit on the road while the home record of 44-28 is powered by a five run per game home average. The Brewers masked the loss of Ben Sheets and CC Sabathia from the top of their rotation for awhile, but it caught up to them. After leading the NL Central for nearly the first third of the season, it has been a spiral down ever since. Braden Looper has pitched close to a five ERA on the season and the Brewers are just 4-13 vs a team with a home winning percentage of .600 or higher in their last 17 in this spot. Cubs have turned a magnificent 63-25 mark at home vs teams with a losing record. Looper yielding lots of runs vs teams with a winning record, 10 of his last 13 against them have gone over the total, and these teams have slugged out a 17-8-2 mark to the over in their last 27. I will go with the Cubs and OVER here.