Milwaukee at Chicago

Milwaukee is favored, but not getting it done on the road with the Brewers 2-5 in their last seven road games. They were favored again yesterday, but the Cubs and their deep pitching staff shut them out, 3-0. Milwaukee is 5-5 the last 10 games, losing four as chalk. Marco Estrada goes here, but the Brewers are 1-5 in Estrada's last six starts with four days of rest. The Cubs are 3-2 in the last five starts made by Travis Wood, who has 44 strikeouts and 15 walks in 47+ innings. The Cubs are 4-1 in their last five home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600, so there's great value with the home dog again. In addition, this will be a defensive game as the UNDER is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings between them. Milwaukee is 9-4 UNDER the total against a left-handed starter, and the UNDER is 18-6-2 in the Brewers last 26 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Meanwhile, the Cubs are 13-5-3 UNDER the total in Wood's last 21 home starts. Play the Cubs and the Brewers/Cubs UNDER the Total.