Milwaukee at Chicago

The Cubs have lost 12 of 14. It hasn't been good even at home where they have lost nine straight. Milwaukee has won four of five already in this series this season and I think they make it five of six this afternoon. The Cubs are 9-23 this season as a small underdog of +100 to +150 and they are 1-11 facing a team that has beaten them 3 straight times. The Cubs are scoring 3.7 runs per game at home this season while Milwaukee puts up 4.8 per game on the road. Home teams at +125 to -125 starting a pitcher that gives up 1 or more HR's/start with a well rested bullpen that threw 3 innings or less over last 2 games are just 20-43 (32%) over the last 5 seasons. Brewers here.