Milwaukee at Atlanta

Atlanta is a great pitcher's park. When these teams meet the UNDER is 6-0 in the last six meetings, including 4-1 UNDER the total in this park. Atlanta is not hitting - one of the worst offenses in baseball. Milwaukee righty Kyle Lohse (5-1, 2.88 ERA) has been great and rarely walks anyone, which is perfect for a big park like this. The UNDER is 7-2-1 in the Brewers' last 10 road games against a team with a winning record, plus the Brewers are 16-5 UNDER the total against the NL East. Atlanta has Ervin Santana going (4-1, 2.76 ERA) and his outstanding 46-10 strikeout to walk ratio. Atlanta is on a 10-4-1 run UNDER the total and the UNDER is 38-18-2 in the Braves' last 58 against the NL Central, so look for more defense than offense. This one stays UNDER the total.