Milwaukee at Atlanta

Ben Sheets probably just wishes this season would end. He's 2-4 on the season with a 4.71 ERA, had major shoulder problems that have kept him out three months, and now he's dealing with chest soreness. He had to leave Saturday's game after just one inning of work. On the road he's 0-2 this season with a 7.50 ERA. And, over the past two seasons, Milwaukke is just 5-17 with Sheets on the mound vs. high scoring teams (4.8+ runs per game). He's Kevin Barry who will be making his firs MLB start in this one. Good thing for Barry that he's facing the Brewers who are just 20-37 on the road and scoring 3.7 runs per game over their last seven games. Atlanta should be able to give him decent run support vs. the ailing Sheets as they put up 5.4 runs per game vs. right handers this season. Milwaukee's bullpen is weak (5-13 on the season on the road) so they'll be little help if/when Sheets gets into trouble. Milwaukee simply doesn't deserve to be a road favorite. They are 10-19 in that role over the past three seasons. THey are also 16-31 this season on the road vs. right handed starters. Home dog here.