Milwaukee at Arizona

Arizona is an improved team from last season's 110-loss club. The Diamondbacks have been playing their best baseball of the season with a 7-1 record in their last 8 games. Bad teams over 162-game seasons have some very good runs but they typically don't last very long, and usually position them as over-valued. The Brewers are battling for their playoff lives and have dropped the first 2 games in this series and can ill-afford another loss here, so I expect them to rachet up the focus level. They will have their best chance behind Corbin Burnes tonight. Burnes has 1 career start vs Arizona and it resulted in a 2-0 shutout win. I like Milwaukee with the bounceback in this one.