Milwaukee at Arizona

Milwaukee has lost four straight (including three to the lowly Cubs) while Arizona has won four straight. Both of the pitchers have fared well this season but I give Brandon Webb the edge. Chris Capuano is 10-4 with a 3.21 ERA but 3-3 with a 3.92 ERA on the road. Brandon Webb is 9-3 with a 2.65 ERA (3.12 with 4-1 record at home). In games involving two teams in the 46%-49% win range, teams off 3+ straight wins (i.e. momentum) are 73-38 (66%) over the past decade. Go with the small price here on the team with momentum and home field advantage.