Miami at Washington

Miami heads out on the road with a bad offense at #28 in runs scored, #24 in on-base percentage, and last in slugging. This is a big park in Washington -  tough to score runs. At least Miami has a good young arm on the mound in Pablo Lopez (3.00 ERA), off a 5-2 win over the NY Mets. He faces a below-average Washington offense that is #21 in runs scored, and #18 in slugging. They got shut out at home by Boston yesterday. The Nationals have veteran Jeremy Hellickson (2.63 ERA) on the mound, with a 38-8 strikeout-to-walk ratio. The team is 8-1 UNDER the total in his last nine starts, off a 3-2 loss at Philly. Washington is 25-9 UNDER the total against a righty starter, as well as 36-16-5 UNDER in Game 1 of a series. Play this one to finish UNDER.