Miami at Washington

Miami has won seven of 11 and has starter Pablo Lopez going today with batters hitting .218 off him. Miami has won three of his last five starts, and he faces a Washington offense that is 22nd in runs scored, 19th in slugging, and the pitching staff has the second-worst ERA (5.11). Despite being on a seven-game homestand, Washington has lost three straight, and starter Erick Fedde (4.40 ERA) has a 4.85 ERA at home. Washington is 35-76 as a home dog, and the wagering value is on the visitors to win by more than one run. Play Miami on the runline.