Miami at Washington

Miami pulled off the win as a big dog yesterday, but wins have not come easy for this team. Miami is on a 2-6 run, with every loss but one by 2 or more runs. The Marlins are last in baseball in runs scored, and #29 in slugging. The Marlins are 8-21 away against a team with a winning home record, plus 7-21 versus the NL East. Marlins righty Tom Koehler (8-12) has allowed 26 runs his last six starts (33 innings) with Miami losing all six of those starts. He throws well at home but is 4-8 on the road with a 4.73 ERA. He is also 1-2 with a 4.66 ERA against Washington this season. Washington goes with Jordan Zimmermann (3.54 ERA) and he has a strong 2.68 ERA at home. The Nationals are 42-15 when Zimmermann starts at home. Washington has won his last two starts 9-5 and 15-6 and the Marlins are 9-24 in the last 33 meetings in Washington, so grab the home team in a one-sided win. Play Washington to win by at least two.