Miami at Washington

The Miami Marlins have had an expected awful season, but they have been a lot more competitive than their recent 1-7 slide would indicate. They have been right there, as their last five games show a 3-run win and four losses by just a single run. The net is a 1-run deficit over their last five games despite the  1-4 record. Washington was supposed to breeze into the playoffs this season, but they trail the second wildcard spot by seven games, and time is running out. Gio Gonzalez, unlike last year, has been all over the place. In his last five starts, have seen two outings fall short of four innings, where he allowed 7 and 10 runs. I think that the distance from reality and actuality, places the value on the dog here, so my pick is on Miami.