Miami at Washington

The Washington Nationals are out of the gate strong, netting a pair of season-opening wins over the Miami Marlins at home. They send Gio Gonzalez to the mound to look for the sweep. It would appear that they have the momentum and are ready to put the hammer down, but so have a lot of teams before them in this spot. Teams playing their third game of the season after winning the first two as a home favorite and are posted as a home favorite for Game 3, have a losing record the last 11 years, despite being an average -151 favorite. That translates to a +28.2 ROI on the road dog in this situation. It's not as pretty as it looks, gso rab the dog that has shown a lot of bite over the last decade. Make the play on Miami.