This pick was released to clients on August 04, 2023 at 12:03PM ET.
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Miami at Texas

August 4, 2023
img8:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Miami just lost three of four at home, including twice as chalk, and now heads out on the road. The offense is 24th in runs scored, 14th in on-base percentage, and 20th in slugging. Starter Jesus Luzardo has a 4.63 ERA on the road where batters are hitting .288 off him. The Marlins are 27-84 on the road after six or more straight home games, as well as 16-39 away from home versus lefty starters. While Miami is getting outscored by 26 runs, Texas has a +159 run differential, tied for the best in the majors. Texas plays its fourth consecutive home contest after sweeping the White Sox by an 18-4 count. Texas is No. 1 in runs scored and on-base percentage, plus second in slugging. Starter Jordan Montgomery (3.42 ERA) has been very good, even at home where he has a 3.50 ERA, so back home field. Play Texas. 

1 unit on Texas -131 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.76)
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