This pick was released to clients on May 28, 2024 at 12:09PM ET.
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Miami at San Diego

May 28, 2024
img9:40 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Miami plays its fifth straight game on the road, a long way from home. Starter Jesus Luzardo has a 7.59 ERA on the road. They lost at San Diego yesterday, 2-1. The pitching is 27th in the majors in ERA (4.60), including 23rd in the pen (4.42 ERA), while the offense is 28th in runs scored, 29th in on-base percentage, 29th in slugging, and 20th in steals. The Marlins are 34-64 after allowing four or fewer runs in five straight games. San Diego is on a 7-4 run. Matt Waldron had a rough start to the season but is in a groove allowing three runs in his last two starts. Those were victories at Cincinnati (6-4) and Atlanta (3-1). The bullpen is seventh in the majors in ERA (3.49), while the offense is eighth in runs scored, sixth in on-base percentage, 13th in slugging, and ninth in steals. The Padres are 45-23 after scoring two runs or less, so back home field. Play San Diego. 

1.5 units on San Diego -125 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 2.7)
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