Miami at San Diego

Both of these teams average under 4 runs per game. At home this season, the Padres get only 3.2 per contest. Florida must face Cory Luebke here. His record is just 5-6 but that's due to San Diego's offensive problems. Luebke has pitched wonderfully this season (2.99 ERA) and in his last three starts, he's allowed just 4 runs on 11 hits while striking out 22 batters. Once they get past him, the Marlins face a Padres bullpen that has kicked out a 2.62 ERA at home this season. That means good things for the UNDER as Florida is 21-7 UNDER this season when facing a very good bullpen (WHIP 1.250 or better). Dating back to last season, the Marlins are 27-12 UNDER after a game in which they allowed 8+ runs. Take the UNDER here.