This pick was released to clients on October 04, 2023 at 12:28PM ET.
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Miami at Philadelphia

October 4, 2023
img8:08 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Miami's offense got shut down by Philadelphia yesterday in a 4-1 loss. During the regular season, the Marlins were 26th in runs scored, plus 19th in on-base percentage and slugging, while the bullpen was 20th in ERA (4.37). Starter Braxton Garrett threw 10 innings against the Phillies this season and had a 5.40 ERA against them. The Marlins are 63-107 after scoring two or fewer runs, as well as 11-55 on the road versus NL teams with a slugging percentage of .430 or higher in the second half of the season. Philadelphia's offense was eighth in the majors in runs scored, fifth in slugging, and ninth in on-base percentage, along with a Top 10 bullpen (3.56 ERA). They're on a 12-5 run and are 38-15 at home against lefty starters. The team is also 8-1 in the last nine starts made by Aaron Nola, who has a 3.29 ERA at home where he's holding batters to a .212 average. Make it a Max Play on Philadelphia

2 units on Philadelphia -144 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 3.39)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
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Miami Marlins
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Philadelphia Phillies img
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consensus consensus
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