Miami at Philadelphia

Miami has won five of nine, cashing four times as an underdog. Starter Zach Thompson (2.25 ERA) is on the mound and the Phillies have never seen him. Thompson has 31 strike outs in 24 innings, while holding batters to a .193 average. Miami is 40-30 against teams with a bullpen ERA of 4.20 or worse. Philadelphia has struggling starter Vince Velasquez (5.35 ERA) going, and he's walking too many batters (40 in 72 innings). The Phillies are also just 30-60 against NL starters with a WHIP of 1.250 or better. Play Miami.