Miami at Philadelphia

Philadelphia scored more runs last night than it had its previous four games combined, but look for the Phillies offense to cool off against Jesus Luzardo, who has allowed only one run on seven hits in 12 2/3 innings and the Marlins won both games. Philly hitters are just 5-for-24 with a .259 on-base percentage against Luzardo, who did his best work on the road in 2022 with a 2.64 ERA and .152 opponent batting average. Aaron Nola has allowed eight runs in two starts and Philadelphia's bullpen is second-worst in the majors with a 6.75 ERA and 1.85 WHIP. Miami has won eight of 11 following a loss dating to last season, but go with the Marlins on the run line.