Miami at New York

Josh Johnson has pitched well and better than Shawn Chacon. But, the Yankees are hot having won three straight by a combined score of 20-12. Home teams with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season (AL), with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.200 the last 10 games are 35-14 (71%) over the last 5 seasons. Also, home favorites of -125 to -175 with an on base percentage of .393 or better over their last 3 games with a cold starting pitcher (ERA over 7.00 over his last 3 starts) are 86-31 (74%) over the last 5 seasons. The Yankees have a big bullpen advantage and are scoring 1.2 runs per game more than Florida. You know I like what Florida is doing right now but I like the Yankees here.