Miami at New York

The Mets have been awful, but are favored here despite a losing record both home and away. This New York offense is terrible, 26th in runs scored, 27th in on-base percentage and slugging while batting .227 as a team (29th). They've lost five of six games, including yesterday to these Marlins, 2-1 in 20 innings! That will burn out your bullpen. And the offense left 22 men on base. The Mets are 3-9 in their last 12 home games, and 7-19 against a right-handed starter. New York goes with Jonathon Niese, and the team is 2-6 his last eight starts, as well as 2-5 with a 4.31 ERA against the Marlins. Tom Koehler of the Mets has only walked 13 in 41+ innings and has allowed fewer hits (35) than innings pitched. The Marlins are 5-2 in their last seven after allowing two runs or less in their previous game, and 4-0 in the last four meetings with New York, so the value is the Marlins on the run-line.