Miami at Milwaukee

Miami was hoping to get a boost in their rotation signing Carlos Zabrano, but the former Cub malcontent has led them to just a 6-9 record in his 15 starts. His last four starts have all resulted in losses, with the opponents tallying a total of 35 runs or just shy of nine per contest, enough to send this one OVER the total on its own. Zack Geinke has had an impressive first half, but despite that his last eight starts have produced games scoring a total of 74 runs or over nine per contest, with seven of the nine having topped the total. The marlins have played just one of their last seven on the road under the total, while Milwaukee as a home favorite of -151 to -200 have only seen two of their last 17 stay under the total. Their offense is carrying more pop vs. righthanders leading to a 17-5-1 mark to the OVER in their last 23 facing one. The Brewers are also 19-5-2 to the OVER behind Greinke as a home favorite. The Marlins have been a brutal 17-43 as a dog from +110 to +150 in their last 60 tries, while the Brewers have been kings of MLB as a home favorite of -151 to -200 at 42-9 in their last 51. The brewers have also been flawless with Greinke on the mound at home facing a team with a losing record, at 14-0. Play on Milwaukee and the OVER.