Miami at Detroit

Young Miami has quietly won three in a row as a dog each time, outscoring opposition 13-6. They can keep the streak going with Caleb Smith (2.23 ERA) on the mound, with batters hitting just .180 off him. He has allowed two runs or fewer in nine of his last 10 starts. The Marlins have won five straight when Smith starts against losing teams. Detroit is #29 in the league in runs scored, #25 in on-base percentage, #27 in slugging, riding a 3-11 slide. The Tigers are 6-15 against a left-handed starter, plus 16-40 versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Play Miami.