Miami at Cincinnati

Miami is a big dog here, but has won two in a row and has a very good offense at 16th in runs scored and 12th in on base percentage despite playing half their games in a huge park. They are off 2-1 and 4-3 wins here. The Marlins are 7-2 in their last nine road games, 10-4 against a team with a winning record. Starter Brad Hand is throwing well, allowing two, three, zero, and two runs his last four starts with the team 3-1. He has a 3.15 road ERA and faces a bad Cincinnati offense, ranked 26th in runs and on base percentage. And the Reds are 1-5 in their last six home games vs. a team with a losing record. Play Miami.