Miami at Boston

The Miami Marlins at 46-34 on the season have the third best record in the NL. Boston appeared to turn the corner after a strong run, but they have fallen back just as fast, owning a 1-5 record over their last six games. Boston has a long history of playing well at Fenway Park, and while they have struggled, the bad stretch all came on the road. Boston had won four-straight games at home where they had outscored their opponents by a combined score of 31-11. Miami won easily last night, but getting Boston at even or plus odds at home is typically a strong wager. Boston has a +14.1% ROI as a home dog this season. Make the play on Boston.