Miami at Atlanta

A pair of red-hot teams clash. Miami plays its fourth straight road contest after a sweep at Boston. Miami starter Bryan Hoeing is dominant at home (0.87 ERA) but has a 4.40 ERA on the road. Last season, he had a double-digit road ERA. Miami's offense is 23rd in runs scored and 18th in slugging, while the bullpen is 14th in ERA (3.90). The Marlins are 84-192 a road dog of +150 to +200, as well as 27-55 versus teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5 runs or more runs. Atlanta's offense is third in runs scored, second in on-base percentage, and No. 1 in slugging, while the pitching is fifth in ERA (3.74) and sixth in the pen (3.60 ERA). Atlanta is 20-4 this month with a major-league-high of 55 homers and is 37-15 after a victory. They're also 29-12 at home against an NL starter with an ERA of 3.20 or better, plus 47-22 at home versus an NL starter with a WHIP of 1.250 or better. With Atlanta on a 42-17 run versus Miami in this park, back the home team. Play Atlanta.