Miami at Atlanta

Road-weary Miami plays its sixth consecutive road contest losing the first two of this series, 16-4 and 7-0. Miami's offense is 26th in runs scored, 15th in on-base percentage, and 21st in slugging, while the bullpen is 17th in ERA (4.04). Sandy Alcantara (4.82 ERA) has a 4.78 ERA on the road where batters are hitting .270 off him. The Marlins are 27-57 versus teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5 runs or more. Atlanta is on a 22-3 run with an offense that is third in runs scored, second in on-base percentage, and No. 1 in slugging, while the pitching is fifth in ERA (3.67) and fourth in the pen (3.52 ERA). Batters are hitting just .206 off Spencer Strider, who has 146 Ks in 91+ innings. Atlanta is 39-15 after a victory and 53-13 as a chalk of -200+. With Atlanta on a 44-17 run versus Miami in this park, back home field. Play Atlanta.