Miami at Atlanta

Miami plays its fifth consecutive road contest. They lost the opener of this series badly, 16-4. Miami's offense is 24th in runs scored, 15th in on-base percentage, and 19th in slugging, while the bullpen is 20th in ERA (4.11). The Marlins are 27-56 versus teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5 runs or more runs. Atlanta's offense is third in runs scored, second in on-base percentage, and No. 1 in slugging, while the pitching is fifth in ERA (3.73) and fifth in the pen (3.56 ERA). Atlanta is 21-4 this month and is 38-15 after a victory. Charlie Morton shut down Miami (three hits, one run, nine Ks in seven innings) when he beat them earlier this season, 7-4. The Braves are 30-12 at home against an NL starter with an ERA of 3.20 or better, 17-3 against teams that draw three or fewer walks per contest, and 136-62 as chalk. With Atlanta on a 43-17 run versus Miami in this park, back home field. Play Atlanta.