Miami at Atlanta

Undervalued Miami is on an 11-8 run winning six times as an underdog. The Marlins have won six of eight against winning teams and are 11-5 following a loss. Last year's NL Cy Young winner, Sandy Alcantara, has a high ERA but solid overall numbers striking out 20 with 6 walks in 24+ innings while holding batters to a .239 average. He's also done very well against Atlanta with a 2.42 ERA in 10 starts, including going 2-1 with a 2.86 ERA last year versus the Braves. Atlanta is just 6-6 at home and has lost four of six losing all four as a favorite. And Atlanta's bullpen is 15th in ERA while the defense is 27th in fielding percentage. Play Miami.