This pick was released to clients on July 19, 2014 at 8:08AM ET.
img MLB

Los Angeles at St. Louis

July 19, 2014
img4:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

There is no pitcher in MLB with the home vs. road dichotomy of Zack Greinke. Greinke is almost automatic when pitching at home as a favorite where his team is a resounding 71-25. That changes dramatically when we reverse the role from home chalk to away dog. Greinke is just 23-53 in 76 turns as a road dog. Greinke also has a losing record in his career as a road favorite. The Cardinals are glad to get Joe Kelly back in the rotation, and in 34 starts at home in his career he pitches to an ERA of under 3. The Dodgers are struggling behind Greinke on the road where they are 1-5 in his last six road starts on the season. The Cards are cashing in with a 68-28 record in their last 96 vs. a right-handed starter. St. Louis has also been 6-0 in their last six vs. a winning team behind Kelly. Play on St. Louis.

1 unit on St. Louis +137 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 2.37)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Los Angeles Dodgers
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
St. Louis Cardinals img
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get my free MLB picks and predictions.

Join 409,399 Subscribers!