Los Angeles at Miami

Winning home team here (27-25) getting near even-money vs. losing road team (22-31). We are getting such good odds here thanks to a poor outing by Anibal Sanchez last game out and LA's six game winning streak. But let's look deeper at why I believe Florida should be a much bigger favorite. Derek Lowe is average at best this season. He has a 4.84 road ERA and a 2-4 record. Over his last three starts he's been shelled for 14 runs in 16 innings. Sanchez is 4-1 with a 3.25 in his six starts. Backing him up is an bullpen that plays great at home (3.46 ERA). The Dodgers come off a great game thanks to Greg Maddux in which they blanked the Reds. But, LA is just 1-10 this season following a game in which they allowed 2 or less runs. They are also 6-13 on the road at -100 to -125. Good value on the Marlins here.