Los Angeles at Tampa Bay

The Los Angeles offense is 16th in runs scored and fifth in steals. They're 58-39 OVER the total as an underdog. Starter Griffin Canning (9.88 ERA) has struggled badly, with batters hitting .350 off him, and the Angels bullpen is 21st in ERA (4.83). Tampa Bay's pitching staff is last in the majors in bullpen ERA (6.23) with the second-highest WHIP. Starter Ryan Pepiot (5.40 ERA) comes off an 11-2 loss to the Giants at home, but this is a good opportunity for him to rebound against an Angels team that is 97-163 vs. winning teams the past three seasons, including a 49-81 mark on the road. The Rays are on a 59-34 run OVER the total at home, including 44-25 OVER against righty starters, plus 46-27 OVER versus losing teams. Play the Rays to win, and take the Angels/Rays OVER the total.