Los Angeles at Seattle

The end of a brutal ten game road trip for the L.A. Angels, who have been on a nice roll, but have still underachieved most of the year. Here they are a road favorite despite a losing road record and an offense ranked 26th in runs and on-base percentage, plus 24th in slugging. The Angels are 5-13 in their last 18 after scoring five runs or more in their previous game and 7-17 in their last 24 during game four of a series. Seattle has a good arm going in Hector Noesi, who has allowed just 43 hits in 51 innings and 34 Ks. The Mariners are 5-2 in their last seven games as a home underdog of +110 to +150. Despite a three-game skid, Seattle has a winning record the last nine games and this is their 7th straight home game. Play the Mariners. In addition, there won't be many runs scored. Both offenses rank in the bottom ten in runs scored and Safeco Field is a huge park, great for pitchers. LA starter C.J. Wilson has a 3.24 ERA at home but a 2.65 ERA on the road. The UNDER is 19-6-1 in the Angels last 26 games as a favorite and 18-6-3 UNDER the total in their last 27 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower. When Wilson is on the hill he's on an 8-2 run UNDER the total, plus the UNDER is 6-1 in Wilson's last seven starts with four days of rest. Meanwhile Seattle's Noesi has a 6.32 ERA and 1.30 WHIP on the season, but he's kept his numbers to a 3.86 ERA and 1.29 WHIP at home. The UNDER is 19-8-3 in Mariners last 30 home games against a team with a losing record and 7-2 UNDER the total in their last nine home games vs. a left-handed starter. Play this one on the Mariners and the UNDER.