Los Angeles at San Diego

Let's start by recognizing that one of these teams owns a winning record while the other is 48-74 on the season. San Diego has had a dreadful season and it's no better at home where they are 21-38, averaging just 3.9 runs per game. In twelve interleague games, they are 2-10, mustering only 2.5 runs per contest. These are the types of teams the Angels feast on. LA is 29-10 this season vs. teams like San Diego that are outscored by 0.5+ runs per game. In expected low scoring games like this, the Pads are 20-38 (totals under 9). Felix Pena has a rough go of it of late, but Robbie Erlin has been no better (6.88 ERA and 1-2). Take the road team in this one.