Los Angeles at New York

Despite an offensive show yesterday in the Bronx, don't forget these are two poor offensive teams. They both rank in the bottom 10 in slugging, while the Angels are #17 in runs scored, the Yankees #23. New York is also #25 in on base percentage. The Angels go with Jhoulys Chacin, who has a 3.73 ERA in five starts since being traded to the Angels last month. He has never faced the Yankees but has plenty of experience against third baseman Chase Headley (2-for-15) and second baseman Starlin Castro (3-for-14). New York is 18-7-1 UNDER the total against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Yankees go with Ivan Nova (4-3, 4.41 ERA), who has a 33-8 strikeout-to-walk ratio and throws best at home with a 2.22 ERA in 24+ home innings. The UNDER is 7-2-1 when the Yankees face an opponent that has scored five runs or more in their previous game and this total is too high. Play this one to finish UNDER the total.