Los Angeles at Minnesota

Carl Pavano has been good at home this season, but not as good as Dan Haren. Haren has a 2.13 ERA in his 12 appearances. That spells trouble for the Twins who average just 3.3 runs per game at home this year. The Angels’ bats haven't been lighting it up, but they average a full run more (4.3) on the road this season. Backing up Pavano is a horrible Twins bullpen (6.09 ERA), so I expect the Angels to get theirs this afternoon. The Angels take care of business vs. losing teams (53-35 the past three seasons on the road). And, Minnesota doesn't. The Twins are just 2-11 this season at home vs. AL teams batting .255 or worse. Minnesota is also 4-14 this season after a game in which they scored 2 or fewer runs. Take the Angels for the win.