Los Angeles at Los Angeles

The Angels’ Joe Saunders looks to become the first 12-game winner of the '08 season. Saunders has shown to be a quick starter as he was out of the gate last year with an ERA under three in late June that ended in the 4's. In '06 he posted an ERA of three over the first half of his 12 starts, but finished in the 4's. This year the ERA that was once a solid two, has risen to over three. Are we seeing the same career long trend? We think so. But, we still like the Angels here. The Dogers are 3-9 in inter-league play thus far and have lost nine of the last eleven in this series. The Angels have the best road record in the league at 26-13 and the Dodgers are averaging just 4.0 runs per game at home. Saunders feasts on low-octane teams like the Dodgers as he is a perfect 9-0 dating back to last season vs. teams that average under 1 home run per game. We like the Angels here. In addition, we like the OVER. The Dodgers have established one trait that covers over 80 games. They have played OVER to the tune of 49-24-3 as a home dog. We like the value set from both sides here, and see this one going OVER the total as well.